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This figure is assumed to be skewed upwards, as it is generally believed that newer and less skilled players are less likely to display their MMR publicly, and therefore are not considered in the data analysis. Uncertainty Uncertainty is the standard deviation of a player’s MMR. Players with high uncertainty are more likely to be matched with players that differ more greatly in skill level, and vice versa.
New accounts with few games played tend to have high uncertainty, while older accounts with many games played tend to have low uncertainty. Since normal and ranked matchmaking are tracked separately, a player who has many normal games will still experience high uncertainty in ranked matchmaking if they have only played a few ranked games, and vice versa. Higher uncertainty leads to larger MMR adjustments after each match, and lower uncertainty leads to smaller adjustments.
Highly uncertain matches are sometimes called swing games because their outcomes are “breakthrough” moments that are indicative of a player’s MMR progression or regression. Conversely, unexpected match outcomes will cause an increase in uncertainty. Party In general, parties receive bonus MMR when searching for matches. This is meant to compensate for superior party coordination, as well as partying with highly skilled members.
Parties’ skill and experience values are counted as an aggregate, not individual for each player.
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